Information Shares in the U.S. Treasury Market
نویسندگان
چکیده
This paper highlights the previously neglected role of the futures markets in US Treasury price discovery. The estimates of 5and 10-year GovPX spot market information shares typically fail to reach 50% from 1999 on. The GovPX information shares for the 2-year contract are higher than those of the 5and 10-year maturities but also decline after 1998. Relative bid-ask spreads, number of trades, and realized volatility are statistically significant and explain up to 21% of daily information shares. In roughly 1/4 of cases when public information is released, the futures market gains information share, but macroeconomic announcements rarely explain information shares independently of liquidity. 2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. JEL classification: G14; G12; D4; C32
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